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The Armory

Foreseeability List

The sin is not that you failed to predict everything. The sin is that you failed to prepare for the obvious.

Foreseeability List — Three Risks, Three Layers

For each of your three most plausible risks:

Risk 1: ___

  • ·Immediate (72 hours) — what keeps you stable right away?
  • ·Short (2 weeks) — what prevents panic from compounding?
  • ·Medium (1–3 months) — what preserves integrity and options?
  • ·This week's action:

Risk 2: ___

  • ·Immediate (72 hours):
  • ·Short (2 weeks):
  • ·Medium (1–3 months):
  • ·This week's action:

Risk 3: ___

  • ·Immediate (72 hours):
  • ·Short (2 weeks):
  • ·Medium (1–3 months):
  • ·This week's action:

Suggested categories: pandemic/public health, supply disruption, job loss/income shock, local disaster.

Three actions total. Small. Concrete. Finished.